Today, the NPE team from Facebook is announcing an invite-only beta for Forecast, a community centered around crowdsourced predictions. Members of the community can pose questions about the future, make predictions, and discuss and distill their knowledge into a single forecast.
People are increasingly searching for information to help them understand what the world might look like tomorrow, next month, and beyond. We believe that a community built around predictions is not only a good way to surface crowdsourced wisdom, but may also help to encourage healthier online conversations across a broad range of topics.
Initially, making predictions and participating in conversations will only be available in the iOS app to invited community members based in the US and Canada, but all of the predictions and discussions will be publicly available on the Forecast website and shareable across platforms. Starting today, we will invite people in the health, research and academic communities to make predictions about the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on the world around us. For those interested in signing up, please join the waitlist by requesting access to Forecast Beta Testers Facebook group and download the app.
Ask questions on the topics you care about
Forecast is a place to ask questions and use in-app points to make predictions about the future. All questions are submitted by the community and then moderated for clarity, using Forecast’s moderation guidelines and Facebook’s Community Standards.
Learn from the community of forecasters
Forecasters can discuss the reasoning behind their predictions, visit profiles to see each user’s predictions and opinions, and follow each other to get notified of new activities. Forecasters can also see their own prediction track record over time and climb the leaderboard for individual topics.
Forecast has helped our team learn new things from each other and about our world. We hope it does the same for you.
As with most things the NPE team releases, this project is in its very early stages. We’re still working to polish the experience and to understand the quality and value of the forecasts themselves. As all forecasts and conversations are public, we invite you to help us understand how to improve them. If you experience an issue, please report it! And again, if you’d like to join our community and participate, please request access to Forecast Beta Testers Facebook group, download the app and follow us on Twitter.